Rockies vs Dodgers Odds and Pick (07/05)

Rockies vs Dodgers Odds and Pick (07/05)

Blake Daniels, July 5, 2022

The Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers play Game 2 of a three-game set between these division rivals at Dodger Stadium.

Los Angeles defeated Colorado 5-3 on Monday night in the series opener. With the loss, the Rockies are now 35-45 on the season and at the bottom of the NL West team standings. Colorado is 5-5 in its last 10 games played and they are 8 games off the race for the 2nd wild card spot in the National League.

Meanwhile, Los Angeles is on top of the division with its NL West with their 50-29 record. The Dodgers are 4.5 games ahead of the Padres and are 6-4 in their last 10 games played. Los Angeles has the third-best record in baseball but is 8 games behind the Yankees. The Dodgers are neck-to-neck with the New York Mets for the best record in the National League. L.A. is currently one-half game on top of New York atop the NL.

Colorado Rockies

After beating the Dodgers 2-1 last week, the Rockies won Games 2 and 3 against the Diamondbacks to win another series at 2-1. Unfortunately, the Rockies were beaten 5-3 by the Dodgers on Monday night in the series opener. Jose Iglesias and C.J. Crohn homered for Colorado but the Dodgers banked on a four-run 5th inning to pick up the home win.

German Marquez will open on top of the mound in Game 2. The 27-year-old right-hander is 4-6 with an ERA of 5.89 and a WHIP of 1.54 in a total of 15 starts this season. Marquez has allowed 55 earned runs on 97 hits with 15 home runs, 70 strikeouts, and 32 walks in a total of 84.0 innings pitched.

In his last start, Marquez lasted just 3.1 innings while allowing five earned runs on five hits during an 8-4 loss to the Dodgers last week. The Rockies are 5-1 in Marquez’s last six starts.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are looking to return the favor on the Rockies who beat them 2-1 in their three-game set last week. Los Angeles picked up its 50th win of the season on Monday by defeating the Rockies 5-3 on Monday night in a win that gave them a one-half lead in the league standings. Los Angeles is also 4.5 games up on the Padres in the division race.

Mitch White will get his seventh start of the season on Tuesday. The 27-year-old right-hander is 1-1 with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.19 this season. In a total of 34.1 innings pitched this season, White has conceded 5 earned runs on 30 hits with 33 strikeouts and 11 walks in a total of 34.1 innings pitched.

White threw for 4.1 innings and allowed only one earned run on six hits during a 3-1 win over the Padres. He did not factor in the decision in that game. The Dodgers are 4-3 in games where White has appeared this season.

Rockies vs Dodgers Betting Prediction

The Rockies are 17-42 in their last 59 games played against the Dodgers. Colorado is also 19-50 in their last 69 games played at Dodger Stadium.

The Rockies are:

4-2 in their last six games played overall
41-85 in their last 126 road games.
9-2 in their last 11 vs. National League West.
29-36 in their last 65 games against the National League.
7-20 in their last 27 rod games against the National League.
20-31 in their last 51 games as betting underdogs.
7-2 in their last 9 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
29-63 in their last 92 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
26-60 in their last 86 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
3-8 in their last 11 Games 2s of a series.
21-58 in their last 79 road games versus a right-handed starter.
4-12 in their last 16 games against a right-handed starter.
1-4 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

The Dodgers are:

96-46 in their last 142 games played overall.
51-18 in their last 69 home games.
47-16 in their last 63 Tuesday games.
4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
50-15 in their last 65 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
41-13 in their last 54 Games 2s of a series.
71-23 in their last 94 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
40-15 in their last 55 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
128-49 in their last 177 home games versus a right-handed starter.
54-21 in their last 75 home games against a team with a losing record.
54-22 in their last 76 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
140-63 in their last 203 vs. a team with a losing record.
68-31 in their last 99 games vs. a right-handed starter.
35-16 in their last 51 vs. National League West.
40-25 in their last 65 games against the National League
18-10 in their last 28 home games against the National League.
Dodgers are 96-46 in their last 142 games on grass.

Moneyline Odds: Rockies +196, Dodgers -215
Odds from BetOnline as of 07/05/2022

The Dodgers dropped two of three to the Rockies last week but that set was played in Colorado where the Rockies have hit the ball much better. On the road, it’s a different story as they have hit just .238 while scoring only 106 total runs. German Marquez has an ERA of 5.23 and is 0-1 in two starts against the Dodgers this season, giving up six earned runs with two home runs in 10.1 innings pitched.

The Los Angeles offense which ranked 7th overall in batting average, 1st in OBP, 4th in slugging, and second in runs scored should be able to put up enough runs against Marquez to win this game. Meanwhile, Mitch White should be able to give the Dodgers five innings before turning the ball over to the 7th best bullpen in the majors which has an ERA of 3.33.

The Dodgers’ bats should be too much for the 2022 version of Marquez while the bullpen is going to provide White enough help to get the win in Game 2. If White can be steady here, the Dodgers could be a nice find at -110 at the run line (-1.5). But to be sure, just go with L.A. at the Moneyline.

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers

Rockies vs Dodgers Over/Under Predictions

The total has gone under in each of their last five meetings in Los Angeles. The under is also 9-4-1 in their last 14 head-to-head matchups.

Colorado Rockies over/under trends:

Over is 3-0-2 in the Rockies’ last 5 overall.
Over is 3-0-2 in the Rockies’ last 5 on grass.
Over is 3-0-2 in the Rockies’ last 5 vs. National League West.
Over is 34-28-3 in the Rockies’ last 65 games against the National League.
Over is 15-11-1 in the Rockies’ last 27 road games against the National League.
Over is 3-0-2 in the Rockies’ last 5 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Over is 4-1 in the Rockies’ last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 4-1 in the Rockies’ last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 8-3-2 in the Rockies’ last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2-2 in the Rockies’ last 9 Tuesday games.
Under is 5-2-2 in the Rockies’ last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in the Rockies’ last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 4-0 in the Rockies’ last 4 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Los Angeles Dodgers over/under trends:

Under is 7-2-1 in the Dodgers’ last 10 overall.
Under is 6-2-2 in the Dodgers’ last 10 home games.
Under is 8-1-2 in the Dodgers’ last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 9-2-2 in the Dodgers’ last 13 vs. National League West.
Under is 7-2-1 in the Dodgers’ last 10 on grass.
Under is 3-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 Tuesday games.
Under is 6-2-2 in the Dodgers’ last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 3-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 8-3-1 in the Dodgers’ last 12 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 7-3-3 in the Dodgers’ last 13 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 4-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-2-2 in the Dodgers’ last 9 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 7-3-1 in the Dodgers’ last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under Odds: Over 8.5 (-110), Under 8.5 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 07/05/2022

These teams have combined to score an average of 9.4 runs per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and 9 runs per game in their last series. The Dodgers are no. 2 in the league in scoring runs while the Rockies are in the upper half at no. 13 and lead the league in batting average.

The over is 15-12-1 when the Dodgers play the NL at home and the over is 15-11 when the Rockies play the NL on the road. The Rockies have gone over 8.5 runs in six out of their last six games played while the Dodgers have scored 25 runs in their last five games played. Both these offenses can get hot quickly, especially the Dodgers. Given Marquez’s troubles this season and the Dodgers’ success with right-handers this season, I like these teams to hit the over.

Prediction: Over 8.5

Author: Bryan Simpson