White Sox vs Rockies (07/26) MLB Preview and Prediction

White Sox vs Rockies (07/26) MLB Preview and Prediction

Blake Daniels, July 26, 2022

The Chicago White Sox travel to Coors Field to open a series against the Colorado Rockies on Tuesday night.

Chicago has had a disappointing eason but the White Sox have been playing well as of late, going 7-3 in their last 10 games played with wins in their last two games heading to this series. They are 48-48 on the season and in 3rd place in the AL Central, just four games behind the Minnesota Twins.

Meanwhile, the Rockies have been struggling as of late and are falling out of the wild card race. Colorado is 44-53 on the season and they are 4th in the NL West division team standings, 21 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Rockies are 6-4 in their last 10 games played and are seven games off the wild card pace in the National League.

This marks the first of four games between these two teams this season.

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox are climbing the standings and they are also moving up in the offensive stat sheets. They are 18th with an OPS of .697 and are scoring 4.41 runs per game this season. Tim Anderson is 9-29 with one home run, 3 RBIs, and 10 runs scored in his last seven games played. Anderson leads the White Sox in batting average at .310 while Luis Robert leads the team with 12 home runs and 54 RBIs.

Michael Kopech will open on top of the mound for the White Sox. The right-hander is 3-6 with an ERA of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. In a total of 83.0 innings pitched, he has struck out 74 while walking 42 and allowing 10 home runs. Kopech has allowed only four total earned runs in 10.1 innings pitched in his last two starts, both win by the White Sox.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies are one of the better offensive teams in baseball this season as they rank 7th in OPS at .735 while scoring 4.6 runs per game. First baseman CJ Cron has been playing well with an OPS of .892 while posting 22 home runs and 70 RBIs to lead the team. Cron has an 11:34 walk-to-strikeout ratio with a slashline of .306/.376/.586 in his last 30 games.

Meanwhile, Jose Iglesias leads the team in batting average at .300 while also owning an OBP of .339 and an SLG of .397.

German Marquez will start for the Rockies in Game 1. The right-handed starter is 6-7 this season with an ERA of 5.47 and a WHIP of 1.44. Marquez has pitched in a total of 103.2 innings this season and has allowed 18 home runs while striking out 85 and giving up 37 walks. The Rockies are 7-2 in his last nine starts. Marquez allowed four earned runs in 13.2 innings pitched in his last two starts. He picked up the “w” in both games.

White Sox vs Rockies Prediction

The White Sox are 2-4 In their last six games played against the Rockies. Chicago is also 2-4 SU in their last six road games played in Colorado.

The White Sox are:

7-3 in their last 10 games played overall.
5-1 in their last 6 road games.
9-0 in their last 9 interleague road games versus a right-handed starter.
6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games versus a team with a losing record.
9-0 in their last 9 interleague road games.
4-0 in their last 4 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
7-1 in their last 8 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
6-1 in their last 7 interleague games against a team with a losing record.
6-2 in their last 8 versus. National League West.
20-7 in their last 27 interleague games versus a right-handed starter.
5-2 in their last 7 Tuesday games.
20-8 in their last 28 interleague games.
5-2 in their last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
12-5 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
7-3 in their last 10 games on grass.
9-4 in their last 13 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
22-10 in their last 32 road games opposite a right-handed starter.
3-8 in their last 11 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
4-11 in their last 15 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
2-7 in their last 9 games following an off day.
1-4 in their last 5 Game 1s of a series.

The Rockies are:

0-4 in their last 4 overall.
5-1 in their last 6 home games.
4-1 in their last 5 home games versus a right-handed starter.
4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
4-1 in their last 5 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
23-8 in their last 31 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
8-17 in their last 25 games against a right-handed starter.
30-66 in their last 96 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
5-11 in their last 16 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
7-16 in their last 23 during game 1 of a series.
1-4 in their last 5 interleague games opposite a right-handed starter.
6-26 in their last 32 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
1-6 in their last 7 interleague games.
1-6 in their last 7 games played versus the. American League Central.
0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games.
0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.

Moneyline Odds: White Sox -119, Rockies -103
Odds from BetOnline as of 07/26/2022

These are two teams that are trending in opposite directions.

The White Sox continue their comeback in the American League Central division team standings where they are just four games behind the Minnesota Twins and one-half game behind the Cleveland Guardians. Meanwhile, the Rockies continue their free fall in the National League West division and they are now 21.5 games behind the L.A. Dodgers.

Michael Kopech is 2-3 on the road with an ERA of 3.52 in eight starts this season. Meanwhile, German Marquez is also 2-3 with an ERA of 6.63 in 10 home starts this season.

Chicago has the clear advantage as far as starting pitcher is concerned. So although Coors Field can be a tricky place to throw for a pitcher, I’m siding with Kopech here based on his last two outings. Give me the White Sox to win this game.

Prediction: Chicago White Sox

White Sox vs Rockies Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone under in six out of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. The under is also 4-3 in the last seven games between these two teams at Coors Field. The under is alo 2-1-1 in their last four meetings at Coors Field with the White Sox as betting favorites.

Chicago White Sox over/under trends:

Over is 4-0-2 in the White Sox’s last 6 games played overall.
Over is 4-0-2 in the White Sox’s last 6 on grass.
Over is 5-0-1 in the White Sox’s last 6 games versus a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-0 in the White Sox’s last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 3-1-1 in the White Sox’s last 5 Game 1s of a series.
Over is 3-1-3 in the White Sox’s last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 3-1-3 in the White Sox’s last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 7-3 in the White Sox’s last 10 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Under is 9-4-2 in the White Sox’s last 15 interleague road games against a team with a losing record.
Under is 11-5-1 in the White Sox’s last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 39-19-6 in the White Sox’s last 64 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 20-8-5 in the White Sox’s last 33 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Under is 17-7-2 in the White Sox’s last 26 Tuesday games.
Under is 7-3-1 in the White Sox’s last 11 interleague games against a right-handed starter.
Under is 9-3 in the White Sox’s last 12 games versus a team with a losing record.
Under is 18-7-4 in the White Sox’s last 29 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Under is 8-2-1 in the White Sox’s last 11 games opposite a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Colorado Rockies over/under trends:

Over is 6-2 in the Rockies’ last 8 overall.
Over is 6-2 in the Rockies’ last 8 on grass.
Over is 6-0-1 in the Rockies’ last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 20-8 in the Rockies’ last 28 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 42-17-1 in the Rockies’ last 60 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 4-1-2 in the Rockies’ last 7 Tuesday games.
Under is 7-5-2 in the Rockies’ 14 games against the American League
Under is 4-1-1 in the Rockies’ last 6 versus American League Central.
Under is 6-2-1 in the Rockies’ last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 22-8-1 in the Rockies’ last 31 interleague games against a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-3 in the Rockies’ last 11 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 10-4-1 in the Rockies’ last 15 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 33-15-3 in the Rockies’ last 51 interleague home games.
Under is 36-17-2 in the Rockies’ last 55 interleague games.

Over/Under Odds: Over 10.5 (-110), Under 10.5 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 07/26/2022

These teams have combined to score an average of 10.4 runs per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and 11.67 runs per game in their most recent three encounters. Chicago has scored six or more runs five times in their last 10 games played. Meanwhile, the Rockies have seen the total hit at least 11 runs in six out of their last nine games played overall, including four out of their last five.

In their last 12 games played, the White Sox are scoring an average of 5.25 runs per game while the Rockies are putting up 5.91 runs per game in their last 11 games played. Neither bullpen has looked impressive this season with Chicago ranking 18th overall with an ERA of 4.05 and Colorado at 29th with a 4.69 ERA.

We all know that Coors Field is a hitter-friendly ballpark and these two teams have seen their offenses score well in the last 15 days. Give me these two team to hit the over on Tuesday night.

Prediction: Over 10.5

Author: Bryan Simpson